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Public health officials have been warning for some time that nothing about the flu is predictable. But here's something that is: When it comes to a new strain of the flu like H1N1, which has already stoked global fears of a massive pandemic, there's almost certain to be some overreaction. That's what happened this week when the public was hit with a double–play of scary news: A new estimate showed that that up to 90,000 Americans could die of H1N1 in the upcoming season; and a simultaneous report that the government was taking some unprecedented steps to get a vaccine ready in time.

   

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