Predicting Emergency Department Volume Using Forecasting Methods to Create a Surge Response for Noncrisis Events
Academic Emergency Medicine, 06/01/2012
Chase VJ et al. – The care utilization ratio is a new and robust indicator of an emergency department system’s performance. The study was able to model the tradeoff of longer time to response versus shorter but more accurate predictions, by investigating different prediction intervals. Current practice would have been improved by using the proposed models and would have identified the surge in patient volume earlier on noncrisis days.