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The Use of Narrative Evidence and Explicit Likelihood by Decisionmakers Varying in Numeracy
Risk Analysis, 08/25/09
Dieckmann NF et al. – The results have important implications for risk analysts and forecasters who need to report the results of their analyses to decisionmakers. Decisionmakers varying in numerical ability may evaluate forecasts in different ways depending on the types of information they find easiest to evaluate.
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